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Inflation Is 3.3%. Your Number Is Probably Different.

Christopher Wilbanks7 min read
inflation
personal-finance
budgeting

The March 2026 CPI report landed at 3.3%, the highest annual reading since May 2024. Gasoline prices jumped 21.2% in a single month, the largest monthly gasoline increase since the BLS started tracking it in 1967. The national average for a gallon of regular crossed $4 for the first time since August 2022. The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment index fell to 47.6 in early April, per CNBC's coverage of the release, the lowest reading in the survey's 74-year history.

Those numbers are real. Inflation is real. Every time I fill up the tank I feel it, and so does everyone I talk to.

The Headline Is Honest. It Is Also an Average.

The 3.3% figure is honest math. The Bureau of Labor Statistics calculates it from a fixed basket of goods, weighted by how the average American household spends. Shelter carries the most weight, then food, then transportation, then everything else. The methodology is sound and the number is the number.

The catch is that the average American household does not exist. It is a statistical composite built from millions of actual households, each with their own spending mix. A family of four commuting 60 miles a day in a gas-powered truck is experiencing a very different inflation rate right now than a remote worker who fills up once a month. The headline captures the center of the distribution. Your household sits somewhere on the curve, and the curve is wide.

I raise that as a reminder about the number. Headline inflation and personal inflation are two different measurements. One describes the economy. The other describes your life. You need both, and you especially need yours if you want to do anything about it.

Finding Your Own Number

Here is where most people are stuck. You can read the CPI report in five minutes, but figuring out your own inflation rate requires knowing what you actually spent on food, gas, utilities, subscriptions, and everything else over a specific window of time, and being able to compare one period to another honestly.

For years the only way I had to do this was a spreadsheet I maintained myself. That worked because I have been tracking every transaction since 2004. Most people do not have years and years of clean data sitting in Google Sheets, and that is exactly the gap Trupocket closes.

I launched the Spending Report on April 13, 2026, and it has picked up capabilities in the days since. You can break down spending by category, hashtag, payee, or account over any window up to 365 days, and you can pass a comparison range alongside the primary one. If you pick March 2026 as the primary and March 2025 as the comparison, the report returns both periods plus the computed deltas, including a per-day percent change that stays honest when the two periods have different day counts.

That delta, across the categories you actually spend money in, is your personal inflation rate. No weighted basket, no statistical composite, just your own dollars over a real window of time.

Categories, Hashtags, and the Things You Want to Watch Closely

Categories are one way to cut the data. Hashtags, payees, and accounts are the others. I use categories for how I account for money, like Groceries or Gas & Fuel. I use hashtags for how I think about money in specific moments: #roadtrip, #amazon, #utility-bill. Payee filters answer questions like what I spent at one specific grocery store last quarter. If a broad category would hide the movement you care about, pick a narrower slice. A #eggs hashtag will tell you how much you paid for eggs over the last year in a way that the Groceries category on its own never could.

This matters right now because the March print was not spread evenly across the basket. Gasoline did most of the damage. Core inflation, which strips out food and energy, came in at 2.6%. If most of your spending is in the parts of the basket that moved hard, your number is higher than the headline. If most of your spending is in the parts that barely moved, your number is lower. Either way, the only way to know is to look.

The Monthly Footprint Report I am finishing right now extends this further. The idea is that your monthly income minus your expenses minus your budgets equals your footprint, and you can adjust the inputs to model changes before you make them. What does your footprint look like if gas stays at $4.16 a gallon for the rest of the year? What if you drop two subscriptions? What if your income goes up 4%? These are the questions inflation forces on people, and having a model for them is how you answer with data instead of guessing.

How to Actually Use This

Here is what I do, and what I would suggest to anyone trying to get a handle on their real inflation exposure right now.

If you track gas as its own line, a dedicated Gas & Fuel category is the simplest way. If you already lump fuel into a broader transportation category, a #gas hashtag applied to every fill-up will cut the same slice across whatever category you log it under. One approach works better than both. Either way, the Spending Report will give you a clean monthly total you can read against the AAA national average. Sometimes you are below the average because you drive less. Sometimes you are above it because you drive a lot or drive a thirsty vehicle. Either way, you know.

If you audit your scheduled transactions, the goal is to read every entry. Subscription creep is one of the most common ways people lose ground during an inflationary period. Every service you stopped using, or that quietly raised its price last year, is probably living in that list as a scheduled transaction you set up months or years ago. Canceling three of them can offset a meaningful chunk of the price increases you cannot control.

If you focus on the discretionary number, each budgeted category in Trupocket breaks into three pieces: how much you have spent, how much is committed to scheduled transactions that have not yet happened, and how much is discretionary. Discretionary is the number that tells you how much flexibility you actually have left in that category this month. Under inflation, the spent and committed pieces grow faster than you planned for, and discretionary is what absorbs the difference. That discretionary line is the earliest signal that a budget is getting squeezed.

If you run the comparison monthly, the first week of every month is a natural time to open the Spending Report with the previous month as the primary range and the same month a year ago as the comparison range. The report returns both periods and the deltas in one response. A five-minute read is usually enough to spot where your own inflation is running hotter than the headline.

Awareness Is the Starting Point

I know manual transaction tracking sounds like extra work. It is, in the sense that you are doing something you could theoretically avoid. But it is work in the way that weighing yourself or logging what you eat is work. The friction is the point. Every transaction you enter is a transaction you read, which means it is a transaction you cannot ignore.

In a climate where most people feel powerless against prices they did not set and cannot negotiate, awareness is the part you actually control. You cannot make gas cheaper by yourself. You can decide whether you are going to keep driving the same routes in the same vehicle, whether there is a subscription you forgot you were paying for, or whether your grocery spending quietly crept up 15% while you were not looking.

Inflation is real. The 3.3% figure is honest. Your number is its own story, and knowing it is the first move toward improving it.

If you want to see yours, Trupocket is free to start and the Spending Report is built in.